Spot the Future Stars this Saturday at Randwick
RSS Feeds Thursday, 3 October 2013

Randwick on Saturday plays host to three Group 1 races on a superb day of action featuring some of the very best racehorses in Australia.

The first two races on the card on this day, every year, are always particularly interesting with the next generation of racehorses set to make their debuts in either the Breeders’ Plate (colts and geldings) or the Gimcrack Stakes (fillies).

The two-year-olds of the new season are special because they are the unknown, their full athletic ability has not yet been tested nor seen.

The 2013 Breeders’ Plate and Gimcrack Stakes are the very first city races for thoroughbreds born in 2011 and every year, without exception, a star is born in one or both of these Listed class events! The exciting thing is, as I sit here writing this on a Thursday afternoon, that in just two days time I will witness a two-year-old destined for the top and today I don’t even know his or her name (without guessing). 

The list of past winners and runners in these events over the last three years  highlights this:

2012 – Guelph, War, Whittington, Va Pensiero, Shahad, Champollion

2011 – Pierro, Hussousa, Dear Demi, Jade Marauder

2010 – Smart Missile, Wild and Proud, Darci Be Good, Defiant Dame, Hallowell Belle, Elite Falls, Disputes

Looking back a little further and the winners have included the likes of Media, Portillo, Dantelah, Choisir, Snitzel, Sebring, and Charge Forward who beat  otherwise undefeated 2yo Dance Hero.

As you can see these two races that ‘start the season for a generation’ are very important events with regard to the future.

Below I have put together some information on the 2013 running of both events with the aim of identifying the conditions that lead these youngsters to be ready to race before 99% of the others their age.

Breeders’ Plate and Gimcrack Stakes: Most represented

 31 runners accepted 


6 runners – Gai Waterhouse

3 – Peter Snowden and Paul Perry

2 – Gerald Ryan, Marc Connnors, Clarry Connors, Chris Waller, David Hayes, and    David Payne


25 sold as yearlings:

17 runners - Magic Millions January

6 – Inglis Classic (January)

1 – Inglis Premier Melbourne (March)

1 – Inglis Easter (April)

*this highlights the fact that horses broken in earlier have an educational advantage in these early races. Obviously the horses sold later in the sale season catch up pretty rapidly by the new year.

Prices range from $15,000 (Halo Dancer) to $1,000,000 (Wandjina). Median price = $90,000.



2 – Arrowfield, Bellerive, Fig Tree Thoroughbreds and Southern Cross



4 – Not a Single Doubt

2 – Choisir, Exceed and Excel, Snitzel, Testa Rossa, Lonhro, and Nicconi


Month of Birth:

14 – September

12 – August

5 – October

Earliest foal – 1 August – Bergdorf

Lastest foal – 25 October – Sure and Fast


The evidence above suggests what we all already know: your best chance of getting an early runner is:

  1. Born early
  2. Educate early
  3. Bred to be early

I am really looking forward to Randwick this Saturday. Good luck to all participants, I hope yours is the next turf star.

 - Thanks to Breednet's Sale Mail for a majority of this information